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AI Forecasting

Your Energy Costs Are Set by a Handful of Hours. Know Which Ones

Short-term price, demand, and coincident peak predictions for North American wholesale electricity markets. Built on 25+ years of comprehensive power market data.

Three line graphs displaying energy data: peak probability at 87% for ERCOT with peak window H14–H17, day-ahead market price at $149/MWh for MISO, 38% above baseline forecast, and system demand at 94.2 GW for PJM with a 72-hour regional demand curve.
What is AI Forecasting?

Predictive Intelligence Built for
Load Management and Cost Control

AI Price & Demand Forecasts

Coincident Peak Identification

Price Avoidance

Asset Availability & DR

Arcobi AI Forecasting delivers short-term predictions for wholesale electricity prices, system demand, and coincident peak probability across major North American power markets.

Dashboards

Email & SMS Alerts

REST API

Analyst Reports

Forecasts run on models trained against 25+ years of proprietary market data, direct weather instrumentation, and market participant behavior signals that go beyond standard ISO feeds.

The result: intelligence that reaches your team with enough lead time to act — through dashboards, API, alerts, and scheduled analyst reports.

Why It Matters

A Few Hours Determine Your Energy Bill for the Next Year

These are specific, measurable losses. Accurate forecasting with enough lead time to act eliminates most of them.

Line graph showing system demand (kW) and facility demand (kW) across hours of the day with marked non-coincident peak demand at hour 9, coincident peak demand at hour 16, and system peak demand at hour 17.
[ 01 ]

Miss the Window, Pay the Price

Coincident peaks fall in narrow, unpredictable windows. Miss the call and you pay high transmission rates for the entire rate period.

[ 02 ]

Price Spikes Don’t Wait

Act too late on a price spike and avoidable cost exposure hits your bottom line. Wholesale prices fluctuate without warning.

[ 03 ]

Unused Capacity Is Lost Revenue

Miss a demand response window, and the revenue your assets were already qualified to capture goes elsewhere. Permanently.

SOLUTIONS

One-stop Solution to Manage Risk

Line chart showing two solid and two dotted lines fluctuating between 6.5K and 9K values from 08:00 to 04:00 the next day, with highlighted vertical bands around 16:00-20:00.Line graph showing ERCOT average electricity price over 24 hours in dollars per megawatt-hour, with price at 7:35 PM marked as $90.85/MWh.Line graph showing electricity demand over 24 hours for normal and hot days relative to maximum grid capacity, highlighting demand response reduction.Multiple electrical transmission towers with power lines silhouetted against a sunset sky.Large electrical transformer and power lines at an outdoor electrical substation.Wide landscape view of a wind farm with multiple wind turbines on a dry, hilly terrain under a cloudy sky.
  • [ 01 ]

    Coincident Peaks

    A handful of hours each year set your transmission charges for the next 12 months. Miss the call and you pay elevated rates all year. Overcall it and you curtail with no financial benefit.

  • [ 02 ]

    Real-Time Price Spikes

    Wholesale prices move fast and without notice. For large energy consumers and flexible load operators, unhedged exposure to price volatility is one of the most controllable and most overlooked cost drivers.

  • [ 03 ]

    Demand Response Timing

    Participation requires knowing when the grid will call, typically hours in advance. That signal comes from grid condition and demand forecasts, not intuition.

  • [ 04 ]

    Transmission Charges

    Often the largest line item on an energy bill. Determined by consumption during a few specific peak hours. Identifying those hours in advance lets you reduce load and lower the charge directly.

  • [ 05 ]

    Weather-Driven Load Shifts

    Demand shifts with weather, grid events, and pricing signals simultaneously. Organizations managing large or distributed loads need forward visibility to plan operations, not just a view of what already happened.

  • [ 06 ]

    Disconnected Workflows

    Forecasts produced in one tool, acted on in another. Every handoff adds delay, and delay erodes the value of the forecast. A single pipeline from prediction to execution eliminates that friction entirely.

How It Works

From Market Data to Operational Decision

Four layers working in sequence, end-to-end.

Abstract database icon with stacked cylinders connected by nodes on a circular base.
Blue cylindrical database icon surrounded by a cubic network of connected nodes.
[ 01 ]

Data Foundation

25+ years of curated North American market data. Prices, grid metrics, weather, 350,000+ streams. Arcobi originates this data directly.

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3D blue bar chart with varying heights inside a transparent cube on a circular platform
[ 02 ]

Predictive Models

Deep machine learning models train on DataHub's historical and real-time data. They produce short-term forecasts for wholesale market prices, system-level and regional demand curves, and coincident peak predictions with escalating probability scores

Person analyzing a 3D bar chart inside a transparent cube with a blue circular base.
Person analyzing a 3D bar chart inside a transparent cube on a circular platform.
[ 03 ]

Human-on-the-Loop Validation

AI generates the forecasts. Domain experts validate outputs during extreme weather, regulatory interventions, and unplanned outages, catching the edge cases that automation alone misses.

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Three upward arrows inside a transparent cube on a circular base representing growth.
[ 04 ]

Delivery

Forecasts reach your team through dashboards, REST API, email and SMS alerts, and scheduled analyst reports. One pipeline from forecast to decision.

Use Cases

What You Do With It

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Coincident Peaks

[ 01 ]
Challenge

Coincident peak windows are narrow and high-consequence.

What AI Forecasts Predict

Peak probability with multi-day advance notice and escalating confidence scores as the window approaches.

Customer Action

Curtail load, deploy storage, or shift operations during predicted peak hours.

Value Delivered

Avoided transmission charges for the full rate period.

Three circular icons labeled Design, Develop, and Create arranged horizontally with thin connecting lines, representing a process flow.Black background with evenly spaced thin diagonal light gray lines creating a striped pattern.

Transmission Charges

[ 02 ]
Challenge

Transmission charges are large and difficult to control.

What AI Forecasts Predict

The specific hours that will determine your transmission rate base.

Customer Action

Target load reduction during those hours.

Value Delivered

Direct reduction on one of the largest energy cost line items.

Three circular icons labeled Design, Develop, and Create arranged horizontally with thin connecting lines, representing a process flow.Black background with evenly spaced thin diagonal light gray lines creating a striped pattern.

Price Spikes

[ 03 ]
Challenge

Real-time price spikes create unplanned cost exposure.

What AI Forecasts Predict

The price direction and magnitude of the upcoming move.

Customer Action

Adjust flexible load or demand response participation before volatility hits.

Value Delivered

Lower real-time energy costs.

Three circular icons labeled Design, Develop, and Create arranged horizontally with thin connecting lines, representing a process flow.Black background with evenly spaced thin diagonal light gray lines creating a striped pattern.

Response Windows

[ 04 ]
Challenge

Demand response windows are hard to anticipate.

What AI Forecasts Predict

Grid conditions that signal when demand response will be called.

Customer Action

Pre-position flexible assets to qualify and participate during the right probability windows.

Value Delivered

Revenue from assets already capable of participation.

Three circular icons labeled Design, Develop, and Create arranged horizontally with thin connecting lines, representing a process flow.Black background with evenly spaced thin diagonal light gray lines creating a striped pattern.

Load Planning

[ 05 ]
Challenge

Load is difficult to plan during weather events and grid dynamics.

What AI Forecasts Predict

System-level and regional demand curves combining weather, historical patterns, and live signals.

Customer Action

Adjust operational schedules, procurement plans, and demand response readiness.

Value Delivered

Fewer demand-related cost surprises and more reliable operational planning.

Three circular icons labeled Design, Develop, and Create arranged horizontally with thin connecting lines, representing a process flow.Black background with evenly spaced thin diagonal light gray lines creating a striped pattern.

Procurement

[ 06 ]
Challenge

Procurement timing is reactive rather than forward-looking.

What AI Forecasts Predict

Price forecasts at node, zone, and hub level with forward visibility.

Customer Action

Time procurement and shift flexible load around forecast price windows.

Value Delivered

Reduced exposure to price spikes and adverse market outcomes.

Three circular icons labeled Design, Develop, and Create arranged horizontally with thin connecting lines, representing a process flow.Black background with evenly spaced thin diagonal light gray lines creating a striped pattern.

Isolation

[ 07 ]
Challenge

Forecasting and operations run on separate information.

What AI Forecasts Predict

Integrated price, demand, and grid condition intelligence connected to execution.

Customer Action

Align load management, curtailment, and asset operations to one intelligence source.

Value Delivered

Faster decisions, lower operational overhead, and one system coordinating it all.

Who Benefits

Built for Organizations That Carry the Load

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C&I Organizations

Manufacturers, data centers, campuses, and large commercial operations face energy as one of their largest controllable costs. AI Forecasting delivers clear signals on when to curtail, when to consume, and when demand response pays off, without requiring an internal energy team.

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Flexible Load Operators

Operations with the ability to shift consumption need to know when shifting is worth it. Price, demand, and peak forecasts make that decision systematic rather than reactive.

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Energy Procurement & Load Risk Teams

Set procurement strategy and manage load risk across ISOs using intelligence that moves with the market. Forecasts at node, zone, and hub level with forward visibility built for hedging decisions.

High-voltage power lines and transmission towers silhouetted against an orange sunset sky.
Retail Energy Providers

Manage load risk, inform hedging positions, and sharpen procurement timing against volatile wholesale markets. Proprietary data depth that retail providers cannot replicate in-house.

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Utilities and IPPs

Forecast price, demand, peak, and ancillary conditions across the full generation-to-distribution value chain in one layer. All North American ISOs covered.

Close-up of a financial trading screen displaying red stock prices and a blurred candlestick chart.
Energy Traders

Optimize trading with precise, comprehensive ISO and ancillary market intelligence. Access the historical depth and real-time signal accuracy required for backtesting strategies and bidding decisions.

Why Arcobi?

What Separates It From Everything Else

[ 01 ]

Proprietary Data at the Foundation

Most forecasting tools train on public ISO feeds only. Arcobi's models train on data the company originates from ISOs, weather, Congestion, 25+ years, hundreds of billions of rows, and 350,000+ streams and much more. That data depth does not exist elsewhere.

[ 02 ]

Lead Time That Actually Changes Decisions

Coincident peak probability scores escalate over multiple days as the window approaches. Price and demand forecasts reach your team with enough runway to act.

[ 03 ]

Human Judgment on Edge Cases

Our propreitary AI/ML generates the forecasts. Domain experts validate outputs during extreme weather, regulatory events, and unplanned outages. The speed of automation combined with the judgment of experienced market operators produces a more reliable result than either alone.

[ 04 ]

One Intelligence Layer Across the Platform

AI Forecasting is one product in a unified stack. It works standalone. It also integrates natively with the rest of the Arcobi platform — so price, demand, and peak intelligence flows directly into asset strategy and operational decisions without rebuilding your workflows.

RESULTS

What Better Forecasting Delivers

Across the Arcobi customer base, over $1B in energy cost savings opportunities have been identified to date.

Avoided transmission charges. Tighter procurement timing. Demand response revenue captured. Analyst time redirected from data preparation to decisions that move the business.

$1B+

Energy cost savings opportunities identified across the Arcobi customer base

28%

Reduction in electricity expenditures achieved by a single C&I customer

$350K

In annual savings driven by coincident peak avoidance alone
FAQ

Frequently asked questions

  • How does this compare to building in-house?

    Building equivalent capability requires sourcing 25+ years of market data, developing deep learning models, securing proprietary data partnerships, and staffing data scientists with energy market expertise. Arcobi delivers this as a managed service with continuous model improvement.

  • Can we use AI Forecasting standalone?

    Yes. AI Forecasting works as a standalone product. It integrates natively with the rest of the Arcobi platform when you're ready to expand, but there's no requirement to adopt anything else upfront.

  • How are forecasts delivered?

    Dashboards, REST API, email and SMS alerts, and scheduled reports. Your team accesses forecasts through whatever channel fits your current workflow.

  • What does onboarding look like?

    Arcobi configures forecasting models for your markets, loads, and operational objectives. The process is built for rapid deployment with minimal integration overhead. Your team can be operational without a multi-month implementation project.

  • What data goes into the forecast models?

    Three inputs that competitors can't replicate together: 25+ years of proprietary North American market data originated directly by Arcobi; weather instrumentation through Climavision; and direct market participant behavior signals beyond standard ISO feeds. Models also incorporate real-time prices, grid metrics, outages, and generation data as they update.

  • What makes these forecasts more accurate than alternatives?

    Three factors: 25+ years of proprietary training data exclusive to Arcobi; proprietary weather instrumentation through Climavision; and direct market participant behavior signals that go beyond standard ISO feeds. Human-on-the-loop validation during edge cases adds a further layer of reliability.

  • Which markets does AI Forecasting cover?

    Major North American ISOs and power markets. DataHub covers 330,000+ streams across ERCOT, AESO, CAISO, PJM, MISO, NYISO, SPP, ISO-NE, IESO, CENACE, plus FERC, NERC, and WECC regions. Contact us for specific market coverage details.

  • GET STARTED

    Know What's Coming
Before It Costs You

    If you already have forecasts and DR enrollment, you're sitting on value that depends on execution timing. Signal Orchestrator gives you a coherent, program-aware instruction set and executes it through your existing controls.